He who will not apply new remedies must expect new evils.
-Sir Francis Bacon
7 Deadly Scenarios: A Military Futurist Explores War in the 21st Century by Andrew F. Krepinevich was yet another book I saw on the shelf at my local library and decided to
grab as I was heading to the checkout line. After finishing it this
morning I'm glad I did. Krepinevich, president of the Center for
Strategic and Budgetary Assessments and visiting professor at George
Mason University describes seven possible international conflicts in
the near future and the challenges the United States would face in
order to effectively deal with the described threats. Far from being
remote or far
fetched, all seven crises are completely realistic and
two of the international crises could have been lifted from today's
newspaper headlines-a deadly flu epidemic invading from Mexico and the
capture of nuclear weapons by Islamists in Pakistan. Other scenarios
involve American cities being nuked with black market nuclear weapons
by Jihadists, a war with China over Taiwan and a nuclear conflict
between Israel and Iran/Hezbollah.
Krepinevich writes well and
as a result, this book was very enjoyable to read. It seems very well
researched with an abundance of footnotes, (some of which are fictional
and reference sources in the near future, which might confuse a reader
at first). My only complaint with this book is its conclusion. It
seemed a bit tired and Krepinevich kind of reiterates some of the same
lessons discussed earlier in the book. Therefore to me, the book runs
out of gas at the end. Too bad 'cause 90 percent of it is fantastic.
But the book's strengths far outweigh its weaknesses.